A public affairs analyst, Donald Okwuosa, has predicted that Governor Biodun Oyebanji of Ekiti State will secure re-election in the upcoming governorship election scheduled for Saturday, June 20, 2026. Okwuosa shared his insights during an exclusive interview, highlighting three key reasons for the anticipated victory.
Incumbency Factor
According to Okwuosa, the power of incumbency gives Governor Oyebanji and the All Progressives Congress (APC) a significant advantage. He noted that the party controls state resources, finance, security personnel, public and civil service, and political might. This control, he argued, extends to the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), creating a situation where 'he who pays the piper dictates the tune.'
Sentiment and Strategy
Okwuosa emphasized that the APC and President Bola Tinubu are leveraging sentimental appeals to Ekiti voters, framing a win for Oyebanji as a victory for Tinubu ahead of the 2027 presidential election. He stated that Ekiti State is strategically important for Tinubu and the APC, as the Southeast and Southsouth regions are already leaning towards other candidates. Securing Ekiti under APC control is seen as crucial for the 2027 presidential race.
APC Stronghold
The analyst described Ekiti State as an APC stronghold, which naturally favors the ruling party. He predicted a decisive win for Oyebanji, reinforcing the party's dominance in the region.
Stakeholder Concerns on Vote Buying
In related developments, stakeholders have called for stronger measures to combat vote buying and violence ahead of the election. A recent survey by PAACA indicated that 70% of Ekiti residents prioritize security, with 57% fearing election-related violence. Experts are urging better enforcement of electoral laws and increased voter education to strengthen democratic participation.
INEC Partners with Traditional Rulers
Meanwhile, INEC has enlisted the support of traditional rulers in Ekiti State to ensure peace before, during, and after the election. The Resident Electoral Commissioner, Dr. Omoseyindemi, stated during a stakeholders' meeting in Ado Ekiti that the traditional institution plays a vital role in promoting peace and unity, as monarchs' voices carry significant weight in their communities.
